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Geopolitical Analysis

Essays Geopolitics

GERMANY, a major military power in Europe?

Your 5-MINUTE WEEKLY DOSE OF GEOPOLITICS. This week : Germany has realised the importance to ramp up national and European defence capabilities, but has it really the means and will to do it?

By Tony, 4 weeks17 April 2025 ago
Essays Geopolitics

Is INDIA a threat for CHINA?

Your 5-MINUTE WEEKLY DOSE OF GEOPOLITICS. This week : India competes more and more with China, but remains far from outshining its neighbour and thus prefers avoiding antagonising it.

By Tony, 1 month10 April 2025 ago
Essays Geopolitics

Bloc mentality and warfare in SPACE

Your 5-MINUTE WEEKLY DOSE OF GEOPOLITICS.
This week : the arms race in spaces continues geopolitical tensions in a new environment and there is no adequate legal framework to prevent the advent of guerrilla warfare in space.

By Tony, 1 month3 April 2025 ago
Essays Geopolitics

Growing security concerns in the ARCTIC

Your 5-MINUTE WEEKLY DOSE OF GEOPOLITICS.
This week : aggressive behaviours in the Arctic for its strategic resources may not lead to a direct confrontation yet. Multilateral diplomatic frameworks do exist, but they may not be enough.

By Tony, 2 months27 March 2025 ago
https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna37137526
Essays Geopolitics

Has the world entered a “NO WAR, NO PEACE” era?

Is a Western-dominated world order really a guarantee for peace? How has the shift from power rivalry to power inequality changed warfare? What is “weakness politics”? Does peace still exist?

By Tony, 1 year23 January 2024 ago
History and Case studies

The COLOUR REVOLUTIONS in Georgia, Ukraine and Kyrgyzstan

What sparked the Colour revolutions? Did they bring democracy and the rule of law? What role did the US play? How did it impact relations with Russia?

By Tony, 1 year31 December 2023 ago
History and Case studies

NIGERIA and Boko-Haram

How did Boko Haram get control of Lake Chad? How does Boko Haram differ from the Islamic State? What is the connection between terrorism and criminality? What hinders Nigerian counter-terrorist efforts?

By Tony, 1 year24 December 2023 ago
Essays Geopolitics

A collapse of the TALIBAN regime in the medium term (3-5 years)?

How likely is it that the Taliban regime will collapse in 3 to 5 years? Will internal divisions, rebel groups, popular unrest and foreign pressure make it fall?

By Tony, 1 year20 December 2023 ago
History and Case studies

Summary of ARAB-ISRAELI CONFLICTS since 1948

What were the causes & consequences of the various wars? How do Israeli-Palestinian tensions impact the broader regional context? How do the PLO and the Hamas differ? Why have attempts to pacify Israeli-Palestinian relations fail?

By Tony, 2 years10 October 2023 ago
Research

HUMILIATION in International Relations

How can globalisation and Western modernity be both desired and rejected? What are the humiliating ways in which the West sustains its global domination? How does humiliation fuel national narratives? How have wars changed in a way that humiliation has become systematic?

By Tony, 2 years17 August 2023 ago
Front page
Research

CHINA in AFRICA, a “shared future”?

Is it a “win-win” relation? Does China help Africa develop? Does it use “debt-trap diplomacy”? How does China play the big brother? What challenges will it face?

By Tony, 2 years28 May 2023 ago
Essays Geopolitics

Limits of the POWER VACUUM Logic in AFRICA

Liberal actors see Africa as a proxy landscape for their power rivalry with illiberal countries. However, they forget that African States have their own agency and that it’s not a simple zero-sum game, a vacuum is not always spatial.

By Tony, 2 years13 May 2023 ago
Research

RUSSIA, a predator in AFRICA

What is Russia’s strategy in Africa? How does it use the Wagner group? What’s happening in CAR, Mali, Sudan and SAF? What can limit Russia’s influence?

By Tony, 2 years13 May 2023 ago
Research

Weak and Failed States in AFRICA

Who is at the basis of the DRC’s educational system? How do Chad’s rural populations settle property-related disputes? Why do Guinean hunters perform law enforcement missions? Why is a NGO fighting terrorism in Benin’s national parks?

By Tony, 2 years26 April 2023 ago
History and Case studies

From Clinton to Biden:  a look back on 30 years of US LEADERSHIP

Delve into Bill Clinton’s pragmatic Wilsonianism, George W. Bush’s “America First”, Barack Obama’s smart power, Donald Trump’s unilateralism and Joe Biden’s Cold War mentality…

By Tony, 2 years14 April 2023 ago
History and Case studies

ETHIOPIA, ERITREA and the TIGRAY war

What was Ethiopia’s position during the Cold War? What is the history of the relations between Ethiopia and Eritrea? What sparked the Tigray War in 2020?

By Tony, 2 years1 April 2023 ago
Research

PAN-AFRICANISM: between genuine aspirations and ideological hijacking

Short history, main thinkers and recent developments related to Russia’s influence in Africa.

By Tony, 2 years18 March 2023 ago
History and Case studies

Jihadism in MALI, the FULA case

Who are the Fula and why do some fight with jihadists? Why is the ethno-religious lens an inadequate tool? How has poor governance fueled the security crisis?

By Tony, 2 years10 February 2023 ago
Research

TURKEY and RUSSIA : a strategic alliance ?

Do past rivalries impact their relations? Why is Turkey annoying NATO? How complementary are their economies? How compartmentalised are their interests?

By Tony, 2 years4 February 2023 ago
Research

AL-QAEDA and DAESH in Africa

What are the various African terrorist groups? How different are al-Qaeda and Daesh’s targets, strategies and images? How will the threat evolve in Africa?

By Tony, 2 years28 December 2022 ago

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